Sunday, February 24, 2019

Essex Investment Management Co. LLC Buys Shares of 500 Nice Ltd (NICE)

Essex Investment Management Co. LLC bought a new position in Nice Ltd (NASDAQ:NICE) in the fourth quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor bought 500 shares of the technology company’s stock, valued at approximately $54,000.

Several other hedge funds also recently bought and sold shares of the company. Whittier Trust Co. lifted its holdings in shares of Nice by 124.7% in the fourth quarter. Whittier Trust Co. now owns 427 shares of the technology company’s stock worth $46,000 after acquiring an additional 237 shares during the last quarter. Stevens Capital Management LP acquired a new position in shares of Nice in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $263,000. Tygh Capital Management Inc. increased its stake in shares of Nice by 26.0% in the fourth quarter. Tygh Capital Management Inc. now owns 106,130 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $11,484,000 after buying an additional 21,888 shares during the period. Bailard Inc. acquired a new position in shares of Nice in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $2,175,000. Finally, Optimum Investment Advisors increased its stake in shares of Nice by 88.9% in the fourth quarter. Optimum Investment Advisors now owns 850 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $92,000 after buying an additional 400 shares during the period. 44.57% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

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Several research analysts have recently issued reports on the company. BidaskClub raised Nice from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research note on Tuesday, December 18th. Zacks Investment Research raised Nice from a “hold” rating to a “strong-buy” rating and set a $127.00 price objective for the company in a research note on Friday, November 23rd. Wedbush upped their price objective on Nice to $145.00 in a research note on Friday, February 15th. reaffirmed a “buy” rating and issued a $125.00 price objective on shares of Nice in a research note on Thursday, February 14th. Finally, ValuEngine downgraded Nice from a “strong-buy” rating to a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, February 7th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, six have issued a hold rating and four have issued a buy rating to the stock. The stock currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $122.22.

NASDAQ:NICE opened at $116.10 on Friday. The company has a market cap of $6.97 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.16, a PEG ratio of 2.58 and a beta of 0.80. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, a current ratio of 1.38 and a quick ratio of 1.34. Nice Ltd has a fifty-two week low of $88.74 and a fifty-two week high of $119.83.

Nice (NASDAQ:NICE) last released its earnings results on Thursday, February 14th. The technology company reported $1.24 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.20 by $0.04. The business had revenue of $420.00 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $417.05 million. Nice had a net margin of 11.03% and a return on equity of 9.15%. The company’s revenue for the quarter was up 7.1% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted $1.35 EPS. On average, sell-side analysts expect that Nice Ltd will post 4.35 EPS for the current year.

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Nice Company Profile

NICE Ltd. provides enterprise software solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Customer Engagement and Financial Crime and Compliance. The Customer Engagement segment offers platform and solutions that empower businesses to deliver consistent and personalized experience across the customer journey, and delivered in the cloud, as well as on premise.

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Want to see what other hedge funds are holding NICE? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Nice Ltd (NASDAQ:NICE).

Institutional Ownership by Quarter for Nice (NASDAQ:NICE)

Saturday, February 23, 2019

The Knockout Restaurant Stock Flying Under the Radar

The roundup for today's MarketFoolery includes Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH), some general investing advice, and an international growth story that deserves more attention. Tesla's C-Suite revolving-door drama continues, and this departure is especially concerning. Texas Roadhouse has been quietly knocking it out of the park for years, but the market doesn't seem to care about yet another stellar report this week.

Listener William writes in, asking about the merits of lump sum vs. regular interval investing. The head of Motley Fool Asia David Kretzmann explains why Malaysia is such an exciting opportunity for investors. Check out fool.sg/malaysia for a few of Malaysia's most promising companies and to learn more about The Motley Fool's Malaysia MoneyMakers service.

A full transcript follows the video.

This video was recorded on Feb. 20, 2019.

Chris Hill: It's Wednesday, February 20th. Welcome to MarketFoolery. I'm Chris Hill. Snow is falling from the sky. 

David Kretzmann: Was that real? Is that a real link? 

Hill: [laughs] You know what? Go to snowfall.com.

Kretzmann: I'm going to do that right after we finish taping.

Hill: You're going to get a couple of bucks off the first couple of inches of snow. We got it for free. Schools closed everywhere in the D.C. area. I think the Federal government is closed, as well. But no, not here. Not here at MarketFoolery. Not as long as the intrepid Dan Boyd, producer extraordinaire, is behind the glass, and as long as David Kretzmann continues to live geographically close to the office. You're not moving anytime soon, are you?

Kretzmann: Absolutely not, if I get this gig for the one or two snow episodes a year, I'm totally staying here.

Hill: Look, I like talking to you even when it's not a situation where snow is falling and roads are shut down and all that sort of thing.

Kretzmann: Well, I appreciate it!

Hill: We're going to dip into the Fool mailbag. Stop me if you've heard this before, but an executive is leaving Tesla. We'll get to both of those. Let's start, though, in the restaurant industry. Texas Roadhouse. It looked like a good fourth quarter. I mean, same-store sales for Texas Roadhouse at the franchise restaurants was nearly 5%; at the company-owned restaurants it was about 5.5%. In this environment, coming off of the year that the restaurant industry just had, you'd think people would throw them a parade.

Kretzmann: I know. I feel like a broken clock talking about Texas Roadhouse the past couple of years. The restaurant industry in the U.S. has been in a funk for close to three years now, but Texas Roadhouse has consistently been one of the top performers. I think on the public market level, really the only company that matches or exceeds Texas Roadhouse is Domino's. But Texas Roadhouse's quarter, like you mentioned, comps at their company-owned stores up over 5.5%. So far, we're about 55 days into the first quarter of 2019, and those comps are up 6%. In a time when a lot of restaurants are struggling, Texas Roadhouse continues to put up really impressive traffic numbers, and they're not doing it with gimmicky sales or lowering prices to lure people in. They're continuing to offer a consistent quality experience, quality food, and that's a formula that's worked really well for them now. This was their 36th consecutive quarter of comp growth. They've really had an impressive track record over the past decade. 

I think part of the reason the stock is selling off a bit today, or we're not seeing a huge reaction from the market, the guidance for 2019 was good but it was vague. They just said that they expect positive same-store sales growth, rather than putting up, maybe, "We expect 3% to 5% same-store sales growth," which would be more impressive. But I think they'll get there. This management team typically keeps things close to the vest. They're not going to be too flamboyant out there when it comes to guidance. 

The stock is also on the pricier side for a restaurant. I think the stock does deserve a premium, but they're trading for 28 times to 30 times earnings right now, which is a lofty multiple. With somewhat vague guidance, earnings growth was also a little bit pared back for this most-recent fourth quarter just because of higher labor costs and tax issues and things like that. 

All in all, though, I think if you're a Texas Roadhouse investor -- including myself -- you continue to feel really good about the approach of this management team, the prospects of the company. Slow and steady, reliable formula for growth. 

Hill: You mentioned Domino's. Yes, Domino's is a competitor in the sense that all restaurants are competing with each other on some level. Obviously, in the case of Domino's, they're not a restaurant per se, but they're certainly in the food business. That being said, I completely agree about the management team at Texas Roadhouse. In some ways, I think of this restaurant and this management team as being one to watch even if you don't own the stock. It's probably an overstatement to say that Texas Roadhouse is a bellwether within the industry. I guess I'd put it this way: If Texas Roadhouse starts to have meaningful problems, then I think that spells even more trouble for the restaurant industry.

Kretzmann: Yeah. They've been a shining jewel in the restaurant space. Chipotle is sort of making a comeback now, but they still have their fair share of issues to work through. CEO Brian Niccol is still in the early stages of his tenure at Chipotle. But when you look at the past decade, it's really just been Domino's and Texas Roadhouse when you're looking at consistent performance quarter in and quarter out, year in and year out. So yeah, I agree -- if Texas Roadhouse starts to hit some headwinds, then you really have to wonder, man, what does that mean for the rest of the restaurant industry, which is already facing some issues over the past few years?

Up to this point, they're seeing stronger growth, it sounds like, so far in 2019. I think that bodes well for the rest of the year for the company and for shareholders. We'll just have to see where things go. For now, they're still focusing on the core Texas Roadhouse concept. They have close to 600 restaurants. They'll cross that 600 restaurant mark sometime this year. They're still in the very early stages of testing out that Bubba's 33 concept, which is a family sports-bar-type dining environment. But the vast majority of the new locations that they're opening are Texas Roadhouse locations. They're expecting to open about 33 Texas Roadhouse locations in 2019 and maybe four Bubba's 33 locations. The focus continues to be on that Texas Roadhouse concept.

Hill: We still haven't gotten to the Bubba's 33, which is in Glen Burnie, Maryland. We have to get up there at some point. 

Kretzmann: I didn't know there was one that close. I thought it was in Ohio.

Hill: No, there's one in Glen Burnie, Maryland. Not too far from where we are. But given the road conditions, we're not going today.

Kretzmann: Not today.

Hill: But at some point, we'll get out there.

Kretzmann: Research!

Hill: So, once again, Tesla. [laughs] The C-Suite revolving door continues. In this case, it's the general counsel, Dane Butswinkas -- hopefully, I'm pronouncing that correctly -- who has been the general counsel at Tesla for exactly two months. [laughs] So, if you're like, "Wait, didn't the general counsel just leave two months ago?" Yes, and now this one is leaving. What's even slightly more troubling to me about this is, this general counsel did not come out of left field to join Tesla. He was with the consulting law firm that Tesla uses. This is someone who presumably had -- maybe not as close a look at how Elon Musk and his executive team operate -- but certainly had some level of familiarity, and still, two months inside of Tesla, decided, "Nope, I have to get out of here," and goes back to the law firm.

Kretzmann: One element that makes this a little more concerning is that he was brought in to help resolve the fiasco that happened with Elon Musk and his Twitter debacle, where Elon Musk was basically tweeting out guidance, tweeting out that the company was looking to get acquired and that he has funding secured and all that stuff. This lawyer who came in -- I'm not going to attempt to pronounce his name, you do a better job of that as a host, Chris -- he came in to help bring about that settlement with the SEC where Elon Musk paid a $20 million fine, agreed to step down as chairman for three years. So, for him to step down as general counsel just a couple of months after reaching that settlement, kind of a head-scratcher. A little bit puzzling. 

And then, it's ironic -- I don't know if it's at all related, but within the past 24 hours, Musk tweeted that Tesla will make 500,000 cars this year. Then, subsequently a few hours later, he clarified, saying, "No, what I actually meant to say was that we'll deliver close to 400,000 vehicles in 2019," which is comparable to the guidance he'd already put out, "but we'll make 500,000 cars." So, a distinction between making vehicles vs. delivering vehicles. Anyway, Musk treading close to the line there as far as giving guidance or financial commentary on Twitter that could potentially move the stock. Has Musk learned his lesson? I think that's the eternal question when it comes to him and Twitter, and I don't think that's totally been solved yet. 

Hill: I don't think it has. It's got to be a little troubling for shareholders in this regard -- part of that SEC agreement was, he'd said, "We're going to have someone monitoring my tweets," presumably before they go out, not after. The SEC is not known for its sense of humor. The SEC is not messing around. So, there was the whole back-and-forth with the agreement the last time around, you have to assume that if he gets in trouble with the SEC again, it's going to be dramatically worse. It's going to be dramatically more punitive. Put aside the fine that he has to pay. He's got the money, he can pay that. You have to wonder what it's going to look like if he continues to go down this road. It's one thing to be like, "The chief financial officer is leaving." Anytime you get a general counsel -- and apparently someone with the company was quoted as saying, "It was a cultural thing, he didn't have a good cultural fit with the company." I don't know, that sounds like code for "he couldn't stand working with Elon Musk." I could very easily be wrong about that. But not all executive turnover is equal, and this one appears to be more troubling than others. 

Kretzmann: Yeah. I think working with Elon Musk, it's safe to say that it's a binary spectrum where you either love working with him or you hate it. Either it works really well or it just doesn't work at all. As a result, you're seeing this revolving door on the executive level at Tesla. 

But really, at the end of the day for Tesla, what matters is, are they making and delivering these vehicles? And they're seeing some pretty clear progress. The last couple of quarters of 2018, you're seeing what looks like almost exponential growth. When you're looking at the company's history of quarterly vehicle deliveries, it really spiked up toward the end of 2018. If they can hit those revised targets that Musk tweeted out over the past day, that would be impressive growth, potentially more than doubling what they did in 2018. So from a fundamental perspective when it comes to making vehicles, which is what Tesla needs to do to survive as a stand-alone entity, they're making some progress. But then, they have issues with the tax rebate being taken off the table, cutting some of the workforce, adjusting the prices lower. There are a bunch of different variables. Will they be able to produce the Model 3 in a profitable way at scale? That's really, at the end of the day, the ultimate question that Tesla shareholders need to be asking. It's still not entirely clear. Obviously, you either trust Elon Musk or you don't, and there's still a lot of skepticism when it comes to Musk. 

Hill: As we say in sports, anytime there's trouble in a locker room or any sort of cultural problem, winning cures everything. As you said, everything I just said about how troubling this is in the C-Suite, if they end up crushing their numbers this year, that solves a lot of the problems. 

Kretzmann: Over the past year, Tesla's stock has dropped a decent amount. It hasn't been a terrible performer by any means. A year ago, if you'd said all the different issues that would happen, with Musk being in the spotlight and having these issues with the SEC, you probably would have expected Tesla to be trading far below where it is today at about $300 a share. A year ago, it was around $350. So, it hurts, but compared to other high-flying companies, that's not bad by any stretch. Still, it's been a strong performer over the past three to five years. The stock and the company have been resilient despite all of the public drama that surrounds the persona of Elon Musk. As long as they can get that production, particularly the Model 3, ramped up at scale in a profitable way, the company should be in good shape.

Hill: Before we dip into the mailbag, I have to say thanks to a listener. I wish I could name this listener, but I can't, because he or she sent me a package of coffee from Costa Rica -- which I have to say is fantastic! They do coffee right in Costa Rica.

Kretzmann: So I've heard!

Hill: There was a handwritten note and I couldn't quite make out the name. I think it's Cam. I'm not really sure. Cam, thank you for the coffee! I got it, it's fantastic, it's delicious! Really appreciate it!

Our email address is marketfoolery@fool.com. Question from William Wabrant in Sweden. William writes, "I'm an engineering student who just acquired a chunk of cash that essentially doubles my portfolio size." Well done!

Kretzmann: Awesome!

Hill: [laughs] It's always nice when a chunk of cash just hits you in the face. He writes, "I know lump sum investing is the way to go mathematically, but I'd love your input, especially in these times post-market recovery. Right now, I'm most likely just investing everything allocated well the same day it arrives." 

Talk about your good problems to have. "Hey, I came into this chunk of cash, how do I invest it?" I mean, I'm sort of tempted to say, look at whatever combination of stocks you own and what's on your watch list and allocate accordingly. As we've said before, a lot of times, the best investment you make might be one you already own. What do you think? 

Kretzmann: I don't think you should feel pressured to buy new stocks necessarily. You should be putting money in your highest-conviction stocks. As you become more experienced as an investor and you see your portfolio grow -- which is a great problem to have -- you can start to look at your overall allocations in the portfolio. If you already have maybe 8% or 10% or 12% of your portfolio allocated to a certain company, maybe you don't look to add to that right away. On the flip side, if there's a company you really love that's only 1% or 2% of your portfolio, maybe you focus there to bump up your allocation. 

When it comes to whether to invest everything at once or have some cash on the side and invest it over time or in certain increments like, say, every month or quarter, really you just have to invest however [it] raises the odds that you will hold your stocks over the long term. There are a bunch of different studies where it'll show whether you invest a lump sum or invest on a monthly basis in the same increments. All those studies will show essentially that the longer you hold your stocks, the better off you'll be. I know co-founder of The Motley Fool David Gardner personally never holds any cash. If he has cash to invest, he invests it right away because historically, you look at a long-term chart of the stock market, it's up and to the right. That theoretically means that the best time to buy stocks is today if you can hold for five, 10, 20, 30 years. But for some people, having some extra cash on the sidelines will raise the odds that they can hold their stocks as they inevitably go down in certain periods. You have that cash almost as a cushion or an insurance policy that you can dip into to take advantage of the buying opportunity when stocks do drop. 

Whether it's investing a lump sum or investing on some sort of regular basis, you just need to think about, what is your tolerance for volatility? Stocks will be volatile. There will be periods where your portfolio is down 20%, 30%, 40%, 50%. Does having cash on the side raise the odds that you won't panic when the market drops? Or are you the type of person who is resilient enough on an emotional level to hold through thick and thin, even if you don't have very much cash? Your answer to that, wherever you fall in that spectrum, should inform your decisions. At the end of the day, you just need to do whatever you can do to lengthen your holding period and raise the odds that you won't panic when stocks go down.

Hill: I'll just add, from an industry standpoint, you might want to look at what you've got in your portfolio and think, are there any ginormous holes? If you look at your portfolio and you think to yourself, "I've got some good diversification across industries, but I don't have a dime invested in healthcare," which is an enormous industry, or "I don't have anything invested in energy," something like that, that's one more lens to look through. That's something where you can say, "I'm going to dip in with this unexpected cash that's come my way and look to get exposure across even more industries."

Kretzmann: Yeah, for sure. For me, everything comes back to building your portfolio in such a way that you can hold for the long term and you're maintaining a long-term perspective. Whether it's diversifying across different industries or companies or even diversifying across time -- maybe it's just emotionally more comfortable to invest every month than it is to invest that lump sum of cash all at once. Really, whatever makes you more comfortable and raises the odds that you can focus on the long term, because that's really what it comes down to. You can always look at a bunch of different studies that show, "It's best to do this vs. that," but you're not going to benefit from stocks over the long run if you can't hold them over the long term. It really comes down to buying and holding, so whatever you can do to become more comfortable with that will raise your odds of long-term success.

Hill: Really quick before we get out of here, your new role, for those who haven't heard David recently, here at the company, you're heading up Motley Fool Asia. You got a little news you want to break?

Kretzmann: Yeah! Within Motley Fool Singapore, which is our quote-unquote "mature business" within Asia, still very much in start-up mode, our Singapore operations have been around for just over five years now, but we're dipping into new territory --

Hill: Oh, I thought you were taking a shot at David Kuo's age.

Kretzmann: No! Not at all! I'd never do that!

Hill: [laughs] No! We love David Kuo!

Kretzmann: Absolutely, David Kuo is the man, as well as that entire team over there. This month -- actually today -- we're launching for the first time ever a service focused on a market outside of Singapore. We're actually looking at Malaysia. Probably, if you're based in North America, that probably isn't a country you think about a ton, but there's a lot of different traits about Malaysia that make it really interesting right now. David Kuo spent his entire Christmas vacation looking at Malaysia and ended up finding 15 Malaysian companies that he's very excited about for the long term. 

A few interesting stats and traits about Malaysia. Malaysia has six times the population of Singapore, about 31 million people within Malaysia. But currently, Malaysia still has a smaller economy, a lower GDP, compared to Singapore. You think about the long-term implications of that: If Malaysia can crack the code and continue this growth streak that it has shown over the past decade, there's probably a lot of long-term growth opportunity for Malaysia on a macro level and for individual companies to benefit from that growth within Malaysia. In November, Bloomberg actually ranked Malaysia as the top emerging market. You're seeing a lot of different factors that are contributing to the growth that we've seen with Malaysia over the past decade. Its economy has grown at about 5% annualized. Recently, it's even bumped up to 6% or 7%. It looks like there are a lot of tailwinds for Malaysia to continue growing in the years ahead. 

That was an opportunity that really excited David Kuo. This new service is called Malaysia MoneyMakers. As I mentioned, it's really David Kuo finding his top 15 highest conviction Malaysia-based companies. Something that's fascinating to me about David Kuo, he's actually never sold a single stock in his life. 

Hill: Really?!

Hill: Never sold a single stock. He and I were having dinner when I was in Singapore last month, and I mentioned, "Yeah, it's pretty interesting. Tom Gardner, Motley Fool co-founder and CEO, he launched the Everlasting Portfolio several years ago, and Tom basically committed to never selling a stock for a minimum of five years." And David Kuo told me, "I've actually never sold a stock in my entire lifetime." I'm like, "Well, that's kind of tough for anyone to trump." David Kuo will actually be investing $100,000 of his own money into these 15 Malaysian companies. He's made it really clear, he's going to be holding these for the rest of his life and pass them on to his children and grandchildren. A totally Foolish approach to this brand-new market for us at The Motley Fool.

If you're interested in checking out the research that David and his team have done, maybe explore the product, you can go to fool.sg/malaysia. You can learn more about Malaysia MoneyMakers from Motley Fool Singapore.

Hill: We'll put the link in the description of this episode so folks can just open up the description and click on that link.

Kretzmann: Awesome!

Hill: David Kretzmann, thanks for being here!

Kretzmann: Thanks, Chris!

Hill: As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. That's going to do it for this edition of MarketFoolery. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening! We'll see you tomorrow!

Friday, February 22, 2019

Inovalon Holdings Inc (INOV) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Inovalon Holdings Inc  (NASDAQ:INOV)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 20, 2019, 5:00 p.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Inovalon Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2018 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder this conference is being recorded.

And now, I'll turn the conference over to your host, Kim Collins. Please begin.

Kim Collins -- Senior Vice President of Corporate Marketing & Communications

Good afternoon. This is Kim Collins, Senior Vice President of Communications at Inovalon. I'm here today with Dr. Keith Dunleavy, Inovalon's Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board; and Jonathan Boldt, Inovalon's Chief Financial Officer. I would like to welcome you to our fourth quarter and full year 2018 earnings call.

The press release announcing our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2018 was distributed this afternoon and a replay of today's call will be available in a few hours and posted on the Investor Relations' page on Inovalon's website.

For those of you listening to the rebroadcast of this call, we remind you that the remarks made herein are as of today, February 20th, 2019 and will not be updated subsequent to this initial earnings call.

I'll remind you that certain statements made during this call may be characterized as forward-looking under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 including statements related to future results of operations and financial position, our business strategy and plans, market growth, and our objectives for future operations.

Those statements involve a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially. Additional information concerning these factors is contained in the company's earnings release and filings with the SEC.

In an effort to provide additional information to investors, this conference call and webcast is accompanied by a presentation which is available on the IR section of our website. You are encouraged to download a copy of this presentation and follow along with our prepared remarks.

Our presentation also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. You'll find definition of these non-GAAP measures and reconciliation charts at the end of the company's earnings release and on the company's website.

Now, it is my pleasure to turn the call over to Dr. Keith Dunleavy.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Kim. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining our call. Inovalon continues to achieve strong positive inflection in its business performance. The differentiated capabilities of the company are increasingly resonating with existing clients and resulting in the securing of new clients. We are seeing this across all of the company's business verticals with strong sales being realized by each.

By the end of the fourth quarter, we had achieved a 77% year-over-year increase in annual contract value sales of our Inovalon ONE Platform solutions excluding ABILITY and Services both of which also had very strong sales increases.

Our sales success is not only broad based among our existing clients, but it is also resulting with new clients. We added an impressive 108 new logos to the Inovalon client portfolio in 2018, a 29% increase over the prior year each representing additional incremental opportunity to demonstrate value, land, and expand.

And all of these sales are not being swallowed by client churn or client losses. In fact it's quite the contrary. By year end 2018, we had successfully secured all of our significant client contract renewals for all of 2019. And given the fact that these renewals are typically multiyear in nature, this also bodes very well for several years to come.

With the delivery of our strong value to our clients, we are also able to positively support our solution pricing in the market. These aspects combined with greater than 80% of our business, now being subscription-based resulted in our entering 2019 with a client revenue retention rate that is greater than 100%, in fact coming into the year at 103%.

As a result, our accelerating sales growth is incrementally adding on top of a solid client revenue foundation, resulting in a significant positive inflection in our topline growth. Our resulting projections for 2019 reflect these strong dynamics with a forecasted 21% to 25% increase in revenue, inclusive of an organic expansion of 13% to 17%.

And the nature of the growth for all the reasons I've just walked through predominant of subscription-based contribution, strong client contract renewal rates, strong client retention rates, broad-based diversity of strong sales have provided us strong visibility into the growth guidance numbers.

As of today we now have visibility into 96% of the full year guidance for revenue. And this growth is notably profitable. The solutions delivered through the Inovalon ONE Platform are delivering meaningful value to our clients and are doing so with significant operating leverage for the company.

As Jonathan will touch on in more detail, the leverage efficiencies we are seeing in our cost of revenue and G&A are resulting in notable expansions in our profitability allowing us to both increase our bottom line profitability, as well as invest in initiatives designed to further accelerate our growth.

At the same time now that we have the past heavy build period of the Inovalon ONE Platform behind us, we are seeing a return to more historical CapEx expenditure rates, thus resulting in strong cash flow. Our growing efficiency and leverage is not only evident in our 2018 performance, but also in our full year 2019 guidance. While we see top line revenue expansion of 21% to 25% year-over-year, we see adjusted EBITDA expanding even more strongly at 32% to 38% year-over-year.

Net cash provided by operating activities expanding at an even stronger rate of 44% to 61% year-over-year; and non-GAAP diluted net income per share expanding at 52% to 74% year-over-year. I think that it's important for me to note that it is not only the pace and sum total of new sales and their profitability, but also the breadth of clients, the expanding market penetration and the types of solutions that we are introducing to the market and selling that has us so excited.

As testament to this, I am pleased to convey that Inovalon now supports 24 of the top 25 health plans in the United States. We continued our market penetration expansion into the specialty pharmacy marketplace, which now stand at approximately 40% and we continue to add providers and life sciences clients as well.

As we announced a few weeks ago, we executed 14 engagements in our newly launched Clinical Data Extraction as a Service and Natural Language Processing solutions over just a 10-week period at the end of 2018 and the beginning of 2019. And we have continued to add engagements since that announcement.

The strength we are seeing is the result of multiple factors. Together, they have driven the transformation and the inflection that we have seen: significant investments in sales leadership and overall sales team headcount; investments in our go-to-market strategy; simplifying the message; streamlining the price quote and contracting process; and changing to a technology-led sale instead of a healthcare subject matter expertise-led sale.

We executed on several cost takeout initiatives during 2018 leaning heavily on the increased automation and connectivity that our technology investments have availed as well as capabilities brought through our acquisition of ABILITY. We have transitioned our technology platform and business contract structure to a cloud-based subscription-based business.

We've continued to integrate and hone the business capabilities, fantastic personnel, technologies and data streams of our business units including ABILITY increasing the beneficial network effect of our being together and bringing to life synergy revenue generation opportunities.

We have continued to innovate, develop and expand our data assets and cloud platform increasing both our MORE2 Registry and the number of modules and sophistication offered within the configurations of the Inovalon ONE Platform. Inovalon is delivering high-value solutions to a marketplace that is undergoing an important transformation to data-driven healthcare.

Our vision is to be the data-driven enablement layer within this ecosystem, the proverbial Intel Inside, the trusted partner able to empower our clients achievement of clinical quality and financial performance improvement across the healthcare ecosystem. We are seeing this play out in the positive resulting inflection in our business. And this has us excited about what lies ahead.

With that, I would like to now turn the call over to Jonathan to discuss financial results and our financial outlook in more detail. Jon?

Jonathan Boldt -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Keith, and good afternoon, everyone. I want to begin by highlighting a few key points building on Keith's comments. First, we are pleased with the transformation that we achieved in 2018, the increased pace of our sales growth, the transitioning of our revenue base to subscription-based contracts and our strong cash flow generation. Second, we are focused on accelerating organic revenue growth, expanding technology-based efficiencies and strong profitability with the associated cash flow delivery.

And third our strong client focus and subscription-based platform offerings gives us increased confidence and visibility into 2019 when we expect to deliver 21% to 25% top line revenue growth inclusive of 13% to 17% organic revenue growth with 96% coverage already in place.

Now turning to our fourth quarter results. Fourth quarter 2018 revenue was $136.3 million, an increase of 19% year-over-year. ABILITY's acquired revenue contribution was $38.2 million. Fourth quarter subscription-based platform revenue was 81% of total revenue which grew 53% year-over-year.

Sequentially, subscription-based platform revenue as a percentage of total revenue declined 2% from 83% in the third quarter of 2018, primarily due to normal revenue churn as well as the timing of certain next-generation client software implementations, where revenue recognition criteria under ASC 606 was not achieved during the fourth quarter, but will contribute to revenue during the first quarter of 2019.

Full year 2018 revenue was $527.7 million, an increase of 17% year-over-year and within our revised revenue guidance range. Subscription-based platform revenue grew by $124.6 million or 42% as compared to the full year 2017. For 2018 subscription-based revenue was 80% of total revenue in 2018. Legacy revenue represented only 9% of total revenue and service revenue was 11% of total revenue.

For 2018 the company significantly diversified its client base with client concentration dropping significantly. The top 10 clients of the company contributed 42% of our total revenue in 2018, down from 53% in 2017. We have provided additional detail on our fourth quarter revenue performance on slide 9 in our Q4 2018 supplemental earnings deck.

As Keith mentioned, fourth quarter 2018 gross margin was strong at 73.7%, a significant year-over-year increase of 610 basis points. Excluding ABILITY, gross margin in Q4 2018 was 68.5%, which represents a year-over-year gross margin expansion of 90 basis points.

Consolidated gross margin expansion was driven by our increased mix of high-value higher-margin subscription-based platform offerings and realization of our technology-enabled efficiencies. Our strong gross margin illustrates the significant leverage opportunity as revenues expand.

General and administrative expenses for the fourth quarter was $48.3 million, an increase of $6.3 million year-over-year and $1 million sequentially. On a year-over-year basis, the increase in G&A was driven by $7 million of acquired G&A from ABILITY, which is lower than last quarter; and $2 million of non-comparable expenses, which was partially offset by $2.6 million reduction in other expenses.

Adjusting for the non-comparable expenses, normalized fourth quarter G&A was $46.3 million and remained well below the guidance range of $49 million to $53 million of normalized quarterly G&A expense. To make a point of it, reflecting our increased operating efficiencies, normalized G&A increased only 10.5% as compared with the year-over-year revenue increase of 19%. Additional details are provided on slide 13 of our Q4 earnings supplement deck.

Adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter came in at $38.8 million, an increase of $13.3 million or 52% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter of 2018 was 28.5% compared to 22.3% for the fourth quarter of 2017. 2018 non-GAAP net income per share was $0.05 which decreased $0.01 on a year-over-year basis, primarily driven by an increased weighted number of shares outstanding.

Turning to the balance sheet. Inovalon ended 2018 in a strong financial position. As of December 31, 2018, cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $122.6 million; total outstanding debt was $977.6 million.

Reported balance sheet debt was $949.3 million, net of issuance discounts and deferred financing fees; and the company had not drawn any amount from the $100 million revolving credit facility. The company's net debt ratio as defined with our debt agreement was approximately 4.2:1 as of December 31 2018.

Turning to cash flow. Net cash provided by operating activities in the fourth quarter 2018 was $27.4 million, which even after our debt service interest payments of $16 million represents the strongest fourth quarter of cash generation since Inovalon went public in 2015.

Compared to our fourth quarter of 2017, net cash from operations increased $10.6 million or an increase of 63%. For the full year of 2018, net cash provided by operating activities was $90.4 million. Notably 2018, net cash provided by operating activities includes $13.4 million in outflows related to acquisition and integration payments and $43.6 million in cash interest payments, which together represent incremental cash outflows of $51.1 million when compared to the prior year further highlighting the strength of our 2018 cash flow generation.

CapEx was $14.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, down $11.6 million versus the fourth quarter of 2017. Full year 2018 CapEx was $5 million over our guidance range, which was the result of maximizing favorable payment terms and leveraging the strong cash flow generation in the quarter.

While we will maintain investments in the business to sustain long-term growth, we continue to see a decrease in CapEx as a percentage of revenue from full year 2017 and 2018 levels and after the launch of the Inovalon ONE Platform.

For 2019, we reaffirm our expected CapEx spend inclusive of ABILITY to be $52 million to $58 million, down from 2018 spend of $65 million, which represents approximately 8% to 9% of 2019 revenue. Additional details on our CapEx can be found on slide 26 of our earnings supplement deck.

Now, let me turn to our outlook for 2019 and provide some key highlights. First for 2019, we expect revenue of $637 million to $657 million, representing reported revenue growth of 21% to 25% including organic revenue growth of 13% to 17%.

Second, we expect 2019 adjusted EBITDA of $200 million to $210 million, representing adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of approximately 290 basis points at the midpoint of 2019 guidance.

And third, we expect net cash provided by operating activities of $130 million to $145 million. Finally, in the setting of the strong transformation we have achieved and the increased visibility we have into 2019, we are providing first quarter 2019 guidance as follows. We expect revenue of $143 million to $146 million, representing reported revenue growth of 54% to 57%, and organic revenue growth of 12% to 15%; we expect adjusted EBITDA to be $42 million to $44 million; and we expect non-GAAP diluted net income per share of $0.07. Please refer to today's earnings release and our fourth quarter supplemental earnings deck for details of our 2019 guidance ranges.

With that, let me turn the call back over to the operator to conduct our Q&A session.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Ricky Goldwasser with Morgan Stanley.

Ricky Goldwasser -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Yeah. Hi. Good morning -- sorry, good afternoon. So it was a long day. So my question is really focused -- when we think about guidance and we think about the acceleration in organic revenue growth compared you did -- what you did in 2018, but also what you did in 4Q this fourth quarter. I know Keith that you talked about the visibility that you have. But can you maybe help us understand kind of like how to think about the cadence.

You gave us now the first quarter and obviously the organic growth rate is expected to accelerate quite nicely in the second half of the year. But do you have kind of like a good sense of that progression or can we see a year where some of that organic growth is really going to be pushed out to the fourth quarter similar to the trends that we've seen in 2018?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Hey, good evening, Ricky. Thanks for the question and thanks for taking the time. Great question. So this is one of the key reasons we wanted to give Q1 guidance. We're seeing first as you mentioned very strong visibility throughout the year, 96% at this point. We saw that business getting signed at various different points during -- toward 2018. And now that's all layering in and went through a lot of implementation processes and stand up.

As you saw in our numbers there in Q4, this is now in place, which is why we wanted to give Q1. You'll notice the narrow range on our Q1. There's a lot of degree of confidence in that in those numbers. But also because we have these clients layering in, we have a nice cadence of how that comes into the year.

ABILITY is extremely predictable as they roll through. That's the only inorganic piece of our business. It's only in first Q of 2019. All the rest of it is organic rolling through in 2019 starting with Q2 and going forward.

So a lot of visibility, a lot of subscription base, a lot of the implementations now in place, a lot of confidence, and quite frankly, a lot of momentum.

Ricky Goldwasser -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Okay. And when we think about to your point the guidance is very tight into fourth quarter when you basically guided us to an EPS of $0.07. How should we think about also just the contribution from kind of like below the line and your ability to control some of the SG&A and the expense spend?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

I think we're seeing great strength there as well. So if we look on our cost lines, our cost contributors here taking a look at the Q4 period, we saw an increase in our G&A in only something like 10% on top of a roughly 17% increase in revenue over the period, so a lot of control there. And you saw a similar pattern in the second half of last year.

So once we had ABILITY in place Q1, Q2 had a lot of work to get done in preparation for and in execution of that combination. But once we have that in place in Q2, if you take a look at Q3 and Q4 of last year they showed really strong cost discipline and a lot of operating leverage going forward.

So if you look at slide 13 in our deck today, you'll see that our employee-related expenses and professional fees actually decreased $2.6 million in the Q4 period. We only went up $7 million from the acquired G&A component and then we had a non-comparable element of $2 million.

It's -- good for me to maybe take a moment to explain what that $2 million was? We put out an 8-K today, settling the former IPO lawsuit. Obviously, the company strongly believes in its position on that suit. We settled it and the company will pay $1.7 million. The 8-K explains the full details. It still needs to be accepted by the court but that is expected. And $1.7 million is already reflected in our 2018 numbers.

So take that all out and we were up approximately 10.5% compared to an 18.9% year-over-year revenue increase. And also I think important Ricky our gross margins are showing good strength as well as we show value to our clients. So we're renewing and initiating new coverage or new contracts at strong and appropriate value ratios in the marketplace.

Ricky Goldwasser -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Sean Wieland with Piper Jaffray.

Sean Wieland -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Hi, thanks so much. I'm trying to back into some of your -- the line items on revenue and maybe you can just give them to us subscription legacy services? You gave us ABILITY?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Hey Sean, good evening. Hold on a second while we grab those for you.

Jonathan Boldt -- Chief Financial Officer

Sean, so for full year our subscription based revenue was $420 million. Legacy revenue was $46.6 million and service revenue was $61.1 million.

Sean Wieland -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Okay. So I can't do the calculations on a fly to get to the quarter, but it sounds like you mentioned subscription I think and you referenced it in your comment subscription revenue was down sequentially. Quick math looks like that maybe was down about $10 million sequentially. So help me understand how the recurring subscription revenue line could be down sequentially into Q4 like that?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Sean let me start then I'll hand it over to Jon for any additional color. So that was the last portion of a little bit of churn in our client base. Remember the forces that acted upon us in 2018 were a mix of legacy and also some client base that was on subscription based. So, we had the wrap-up of that piece in Q4. We also had the initiation of a new generation of software in Q4 that because of how the client implemented that software and so Jonathan made reference to because of how they made reference -- how they turned it on, some of the delivery on that didn't qualify for 606 recognition. So, therefore, we had a gap in that time period of that particular client. And that revenue now starts in Q1 under 606.

So, a combination of that churning out that last bit of the forces that were on us on 2018 and transitioning to a new piece of software, a large piece of software led to the numbers you're referring to. Jonathan any additional color?

Jonathan Boldt -- Chief Financial Officer

No, that's it Keith.

Sean Wieland -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you for that. And then ABILITY, should we just plan for 2019 that this is roughly a $39 million, $40 million business for each quarter in 2019?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

That's the right way of looking at it.

Sean Wieland -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks so much for taking the question.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Donald Hooker with KeyBanc.

Donald Hooker -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Great. Good evening.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Hey Don.

Donald Hooker -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

I just would love to hear your -- any updated commentary from you around some of the interoperability efforts some of the Cures Act that I guess were out with the information blocking and opening, is that meaningful to you? I know we personally chatted about that at the Investor Day, but just wanted to hear your updates there, that's a big focus for you.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Yes, Don thanks for the question. Huge amount of updated information as you're familiar -- really two principal documents one of them over 700 pages in length. This is very positive stuff for us. We have the introduction of a lot of new interoperability capabilities driving toward -- two principal ones are obviously the fire standards.

I'll point out that the laboratory where fire came from was actually under Zak Kohane, Dr. Kohane who joined our Board just about a month and a half ago. And then a very big push for those who aren't familiar with it to API-driven interoperability. Both of these things are big positives for Inovalon. We've already been operating that space. The fact that these are now going to be driving payers to interoperate this way will drive we see an additional demand for these capabilities as well as an additional ability for us to support those participants in the marketplace who don't have those technology ecological capabilities.

So, for clarity, a lot of this has to do with organizations in the healthcare ecosystem being required now by federal standards to offer data connectivity and data availability through systems that they typically don't have and we do have. So, we can do it on their behalf, so they can be in fulfillment of those criteria.

So, positive for us in a number of ways. Many hundreds of pages working through with many of our teams and partners in the marketplace and looking forward to seeing the benefits of those.

Donald Hooker -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Great. And then the business has changed a lot over the past year in terms of how you approach clients, particularly with the SaaS percentage up so high now and you commented that there's a lot of renewals and you alluded to the fact that they're multiyear contracts.

What is the average -- how has the average duration of your contracts changed, I guess, with this transition in your business? Is it different from prior years? I mean is it -- what's sort of the average duration now versus maybe a year ago? Is it longer shorter?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

So our core large classic contracts are still -- think of them as around three years in duration. We have some that are now going out five-plus years. We have some going out notably longer than five years. And then also, we have the blended-in aspects of ABILITY which starts with a one-year agreement and then goes to these auto-renew structures. So we now have an increasing blend of different ones. So our average on a contract count basis is going to be coming down from three years, but our core stuff is still typically hitting closer to the three-year aspect.

Donald Hooker -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jamie Stockton with Wells Fargo.

James Stockton -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Hey. Good evening. Thanks for taking my questions. I guess, maybe, first, the subscription revenue ramp that you guys seem to be expecting, kind of, throughout the year, can talk about the implementation work that needs to be done to achieve that? Is the cadence of that implementation work kind of in concert with the ramp that you expect? Is it going to be very kind of first half weighted? If we can start with that, that will be great.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Sure, Jamie. Thanks for taking the time. Good to talk to you. So I think you're getting to what's our conversion rates on our contracts and we have a number of different types of platform implementations that are rolling out.

Things like the CDE-as-a-service and NLP-as-a-service can be a very rapid implementations. And then some of the specialty pharmacy solutions out of ScriptMed take more time. And then we have a lot of stuff in between.

I think an important -- a very important takeaway is that, the profile of the conversions of the business we have signed, that 96% visibility, that is already factored into our year, right? So we're not worried, if you will, about conversion of stuff we've signed. We're in a good place on that.

Obviously, the yet to be signed to fill in that 4%, we'll have to see exactly what it is that we fill it in with and how that progresses through the year. But we are not expecting a story of a disproportionate back-ended year. That's really why we gave the Q1 numbers, so that people could see the progressional cadence throughout the year.

James Stockton -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Okay. And they maybe just a follow-up on that. If the vast majority of the renewal work that you needed to do for kind of 2019 has been done, how do you approach the effort to cross-sell? It seems like a lot of companies' renewals are when a lot of kind of up-sell happens. So if you could just talk about, how you guys approach that from a sales standpoint, that will be great?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Sure. And Jamie, I would say, we approach that a little differently than it sounds like your other cases. We have moved to a more of a dedicated account management model as we transitioned away from our historical healthcare subject matter expertise approach to a more technology subject matter expertise or technology-led sale. So now we have these teams that on an ongoing basis are caring for the client.

Our cross-sell and up-sells really come throughout the year. We have a really good historical track record of being successful there. We don't see a predominance of that associated with the renewal period. We see some occur through a renewal period, but I would describe -- I'm conveying anecdotally. I don't have numbers in front of me here for you. But we really see a fair amount of cross-sell and up-sell throughout the year and we're seeing very strong performance in that area this year.

James Stockton -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Sandy Draper with SunTrust Robinson.

Jack Wallace -- SunTrust Robinson -- Analyst

Hi, guys. This is Jack Wallace on for Sandy. Just to follow-up on Sean's question with the call it roughly $10 million sequential decline in the fourth quarter. I guess, how much of that was from these larger clients? Was that a transition to a 606-based contract that got pushed out? How much of the revenue decline was just due to some normal churn? And I guess, going forward and maybe this is a question for Jason I guess, what's your -- I guess your confidence in the pipeline for adding that last 4% of revenue?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Great. Jack thanks for the question. So first of all our churn throughout 2018 the forces that impacted our 2018 that was pretty consistent throughout the whole year. So if you map that negative contribution component, you'll get a consistent number there in Q4 as well. So it's a chunk of that subscription number that Sean was talking about earlier $8 million to $10 million range. That -- if you think back to the ACA elements pulling out, some of those clients were on subscription-based platforms and you saw that -- tail of the effect in Q4. The rest of it was exactly as you said transition to a 606-subjected software platform as we came off of a previous one. 606 has certain abilities to demonstrate -- what's the right word I'm looking for Jonathan?

Jonathan Boldt -- Chief Financial Officer

Benefit from the clients perspective.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Benefit from the clients perspective meeds to able to be documented and demonstrated. And that occurred in Q1 as opposed to Q4. So we created a little bit of an air gap for that but that started up here in first quarter. So that's already baked into our full year numbers. So now the second part of your question was what's our confidence on the 4%. Very, very strong confidence. We're seeing strong ACV momentum through 2018 77% total excluding services and ABILITY. ABILITY and services were both very strong. ABILITY's we don't have into our Oracle system yet, so we didn't want to put those numbers in with our core numbers that are now on the new Oracle system.

A little commercial there for Oracle I guess. And then the services piece, because that has a different nature to it it's a different type of ACV growth number. But very strong momentum. And as we did say in our -- little earlier, we're seeing that very much continue here in Q1. So we're -- obviously really strong foundation coming in with a really strong ACV momentum. We don't see either of those things changing here in 2019. So good confidence.

Jack Wallace -- SunTrust Robinson -- Analyst

Great. Thanks for the answers.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jack.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Matthew Gillmor with Robert Baird.

Matthew Gillmor -- Robert Baird -- Analyst

Hi, thanks for the question. Following up on at the 606 issue you've talked about. Is there any change you can make from an implementation standpoint so you get better predictability around that in the future? Was that just sort of a one-off issue this quarter? Just trying to understand if that's something that could impact you in the future?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Well, I think a lot of people are worrying on 606 a little frankly. I think we saw some of that as we were trying to get clarity on wrapping up the year and wrapping up all the books.

So, yes, the answer to your question is yes, we can design the contracts in such a way as to not have that be an issue. And then there's also an aspect of 606 where it -- there's a difference in the handling of the very first one you put in on 606, but we do have the ability to change some of that contract structure and take care of that. And that's now built into our range. So all of those that were a possible sensitivity here in 2019, we've now built that into our cadence for the year.

Matthew Gillmor -- Robert Baird -- Analyst

Okay. And then asking about the organic growth in 2019. I think you implicitly raised it to 13% to 17% from 12% to 14% previously. Does that just reflect the timing issue around this revenue that slipped into the first quarter? Are there any other dynamics at play?

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Matt. So that's just the math. We didn't change the full year guidance for this year, but because of the way 2018 ended, the way the math works out is -- it's 13% to 17%. But for us it's the exact same delivery that we had previously projected.

Matthew Gillmor -- Robert Baird -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks very much.

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely. So with that being the last question, I just wanted to close for a moment and thank everybody for taking the time for us this evening and you all have incredibly busy days.

Before I wrap up, I just wanted to hit three points that we believe are really important. Number one is increasing differentiation. So our data sets, our cloud platform capabilities are being increasingly recognized in the industry, as industry leading, as differentiated. You're seeing this in now 24 of 25 health plans now being serviced by Inovalon. We think that that really shows the market is recognizing this and we're seeing that in our ACV growth and our outlook.

Number two is just that the increasing growth. We're seeing an acceleration of demand, an acceleration of our ability to sell to that demand and an acceleration of our ability to implement to that sale. And that's progressing very nicely for us.

And then number three, because of the nature of our platform, because of a lot of work we've done on cost management and efficiency initiatives and technology, we're seeing a lot of operating leverage, which is an increasing profitability. So we're seeing not only the margins expand but also in the setting of our CapEx returning more toward a historical level. We're seeing a really nice cash flow profile progress in a positive way.

So we're excited about the year ahead. We're excited about the financial performance. We're looking forward to bringing you Q1 and all of those numbers, and we thank you for your time. Thanks everybody. Good night.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may all disconnect and have a wonderful day.

Duration: 44 minutes

Call participants:

Kim Collins -- Senior Vice President of Corporate Marketing & Communications

Keith Dunleavy -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer

Jonathan Boldt -- Chief Financial Officer

Ricky Goldwasser -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Sean Wieland -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Donald Hooker -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

James Stockton -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Jack Wallace -- SunTrust Robinson -- Analyst

Matthew Gillmor -- Robert Baird -- Analyst

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Thursday, February 21, 2019

Fascination with value investing remains undiminished

CK Narayan

In the past couple of years, value investing has become a fad and icons of value investing have become more visible. You keep reading about the past and everyone is raking up some stock or the other that was bought by somebody when it was cheap and how it is now making millions. Papers are full of articles as is Whatsapp full of anecdotes of the 'big money makers'.

If only one had the foresight to buy them when they were of value. This barrage of information on value investing has led to many new investors labelling themselves as value investors.

2018 has not been such a good year for any kind of investing as the market has persisted in declining all through the year. However, the fascination with value investing remains undiminished. I am not too big a fan of this style of investing because I know that I don't have the personality for it. I also firmly believe that most people espousing its qualities too do not have the kind of patience that is demanded of them. But they are engaging in it because it is currently hot and also it builds the image of some incredible wealth at some point of time in the future.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Mattel’s (MAT) Hold Rating Reaffirmed at Stifel Nicolaus

Stifel Nicolaus reiterated their hold rating on shares of Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) in a research report released on Thursday. The firm currently has a $15.00 target price on the stock.

A number of other research firms also recently commented on MAT. SunTrust Banks reiterated a hold rating and set a $13.00 price objective on shares of Mattel in a research note on Monday, December 24th. ValuEngine upgraded shares of Mattel from a hold rating to a buy rating in a research report on Wednesday, February 13th. UBS Group set a $15.00 price target on shares of Mattel and gave the stock a hold rating in a research report on Thursday, November 1st. Citigroup reduced their price target on shares of Mattel from $19.00 to $16.00 and set a buy rating on the stock in a research report on Tuesday, October 30th. Finally, Barclays reduced their price target on shares of Mattel from $11.00 to $10.00 and set an underweight rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, November 14th. Two analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, nine have assigned a hold rating and five have assigned a buy rating to the company. Mattel presently has a consensus rating of Hold and an average target price of $14.46.

Get Mattel alerts:

NASDAQ MAT opened at $13.82 on Thursday. Mattel has a 12 month low of $9.09 and a 12 month high of $17.98. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.26, a quick ratio of 1.44 and a current ratio of 1.88. The firm has a market cap of $4.77 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -12.12, a P/E/G ratio of 24.39 and a beta of 1.38.

Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, February 7th. The company reported $0.04 EPS for the quarter, beating the Zacks’ consensus estimate of ($0.11) by $0.15. Mattel had a negative net margin of 11.77% and a negative return on equity of 43.47%. The firm had revenue of $1.52 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.44 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.72) EPS. The firm’s revenue was down 5.4% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, research analysts expect that Mattel will post 0.08 EPS for the current fiscal year.

In related news, EVP Michael J. Eilola sold 10,904 shares of Mattel stock in a transaction dated Monday, February 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $15.72, for a total value of $171,410.88. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this link. Company insiders own 1.60% of the company’s stock.

A number of institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in MAT. Raymond James & Associates increased its stake in Mattel by 36.9% during the 2nd quarter. Raymond James & Associates now owns 17,562 shares of the company’s stock valued at $288,000 after buying an additional 4,735 shares during the period. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC increased its stake in Mattel by 35.3% during the 3rd quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 56,722 shares of the company’s stock valued at $891,000 after buying an additional 14,800 shares during the period. Ardevora Asset Management LLP increased its stake in Mattel by 10.3% during the 3rd quarter. Ardevora Asset Management LLP now owns 2,205,336 shares of the company’s stock valued at $34,624,000 after buying an additional 205,800 shares during the period. Moody National Bank Trust Division increased its stake in Mattel by 529.2% during the 3rd quarter. Moody National Bank Trust Division now owns 91,682 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,439,000 after buying an additional 77,110 shares during the period. Finally, American Century Companies Inc. increased its stake in Mattel by 11.5% during the 3rd quarter. American Century Companies Inc. now owns 1,224,213 shares of the company’s stock valued at $19,220,000 after buying an additional 126,066 shares during the period.

Mattel Company Profile

Mattel, Inc designs, manufactures, and markets a range of toy products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: North America, International, and American Girl. It offers Mattel Girls & Boys branded products, including Barbie dolls and accessories, Monster High, DC Super Hero Girls, Enchantimals, Polly Pocket, Hot Wheels and Matchbox vehicles and play sets, CARS, DC Comics, WWE Wrestling, Minecraft, Toy Story, and games and puzzles.

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Analyst Recommendations for Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT)

Monday, February 18, 2019

$601.67 Million in Sales Expected for Valvoline Inc (VVV) This Quarter

Equities analysts predict that Valvoline Inc (NYSE:VVV) will announce $601.67 million in sales for the current quarter, according to Zacks Investment Research. Four analysts have made estimates for Valvoline’s earnings. The lowest sales estimate is $594.10 million and the highest is $609.90 million. Valvoline posted sales of $569.00 million during the same quarter last year, which would indicate a positive year over year growth rate of 5.7%. The firm is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings report on Wednesday, May 1st.

According to Zacks, analysts expect that Valvoline will report full year sales of $2.43 billion for the current year, with estimates ranging from $2.38 billion to $2.45 billion. For the next financial year, analysts anticipate that the company will post sales of $2.53 billion, with estimates ranging from $2.42 billion to $2.62 billion. Zacks Investment Research’s sales averages are a mean average based on a survey of sell-side research firms that follow Valvoline.

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Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, February 6th. The basic materials company reported $0.27 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.31 by ($0.04). The business had revenue of $557.00 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $584.75 million. Valvoline had a negative return on equity of 80.99% and a net margin of 9.97%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 2.2% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $0.29 EPS.

Several equities analysts have weighed in on VVV shares. Bank of America cut Valvoline from a “buy” rating to an “underperform” rating and cut their price target for the company from $24.00 to $20.00 in a report on Tuesday, November 6th. Citigroup set a $22.00 price target on Valvoline and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Thursday, November 8th. Wolfe Research cut Valvoline from an “outperform” rating to a “market perform” rating in a report on Wednesday, November 7th. ValuEngine upgraded Valvoline from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Monday, November 26th. Finally, Zacks Investment Research cut Valvoline from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a report on Saturday, November 17th. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, five have assigned a hold rating and four have assigned a buy rating to the company. The stock currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $23.29.

In other news, insider Anthony R. Puckett sold 2,588 shares of the stock in a transaction on Monday, November 19th. The shares were sold at an average price of $20.32, for a total value of $52,588.16. Following the sale, the insider now owns 3,298 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $67,015.36. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available at this hyperlink. Also, SVP Craig A. Moughler sold 2,551 shares of Valvoline stock in a transaction dated Friday, January 18th. The stock was sold at an average price of $21.88, for a total transaction of $55,815.88. Following the transaction, the senior vice president now directly owns 27,221 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $595,595.48. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. In the last quarter, insiders sold 9,277 shares of company stock valued at $195,453. Company insiders own 0.49% of the company’s stock.

Several hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the stock. BlackRock Inc. boosted its stake in shares of Valvoline by 1.6% during the 4th quarter. BlackRock Inc. now owns 16,762,617 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $324,357,000 after purchasing an additional 263,782 shares during the period. Capital International Investors purchased a new position in shares of Valvoline during the 3rd quarter worth about $208,400,000. FIL Ltd boosted its stake in shares of Valvoline by 4.4% during the 3rd quarter. FIL Ltd now owns 5,999,480 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $129,049,000 after purchasing an additional 254,864 shares during the period. JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted its stake in shares of Valvoline by 13.5% during the 3rd quarter. JPMorgan Chase & Co. now owns 5,773,869 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $124,196,000 after purchasing an additional 684,854 shares during the period. Finally, Wells Fargo & Company MN boosted its stake in shares of Valvoline by 51.6% during the 3rd quarter. Wells Fargo & Company MN now owns 3,709,001 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $79,781,000 after purchasing an additional 1,262,729 shares during the period. 98.45% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

NYSE VVV traded up $0.02 during trading on Friday, hitting $19.09. 2,851,080 shares of the stock traded hands, compared to its average volume of 1,589,627. The stock has a market capitalization of $3.56 billion, a PE ratio of 14.80, a P/E/G ratio of 1.35 and a beta of 1.08. Valvoline has a 12-month low of $17.49 and a 12-month high of $24.18.

The business also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, March 15th. Stockholders of record on Friday, March 1st will be issued a $0.106 dividend. This represents a $0.42 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 2.22%. The ex-dividend date is Thursday, February 28th. Valvoline’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 32.56%.

About Valvoline

Valvoline Inc manufactures and markets engine and automotive maintenance products and services. It operates through three segments: Core North America, Quick Lubes, and International. The company offers lubricants for passenger car, light duty, and heavy duty; antifreeze/coolants for original equipment manufacturers; functional and maintenance chemicals, such as brake fluids and power steering fluids, as well as specialty coatings for automotive and industrial applications comprising rust prevention and sound absorption; and oil and air filters for light-duty vehicles.

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Earnings History and Estimates for Valvoline (NYSE:VVV)

Saturday, February 16, 2019

Canopy Growth Stock Has Great Potential — Buy High And Sell Higher

In 2017 we had the Bitcoin craze and last year Wall Street was high on the cannabis trade. Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), which is the largest Canadian company of its kind, took center stage when Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) invested $4 billion in it. This further legitimized the pot potential after an increase in the legalization trend. Since then, companies like Coke (NYSE:KO) have also been in pursuit of the pot of gold — pun intended.

The bullish thesis on cannabis is very broad. This makes it easy to accept and difficult to short. This also makes for some lofty expectations. Companies like Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) and Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) are perhaps two of the most expensive valuations I’ve seen. TLRY has a market caps of $7 billion on only $20 million of revenues, and CRON’s is $3.9 billion on only revenues of $3 million.

From that perspective, CGC stock is not that much cheaper — except this one has a fortress balance sheet thanks to the STZ investment. What ever the potential opportunities they may see, they have the money to pursue them the proper way. Growth becomes attainable, and that is good reason to pay up for the stock now.

Wall Street is doing just that this morning, as the stock is moving 5% on the heels of the conference calls. Management reported earnings last night, and so far the reaction then was muted even though the report was solid. I caution that the stock move so far is still well below what was expected so investors could still change their mind today. But even then, this is the short term and the thesis for CGC stock is for the long term.

CGC Stock Earnings

The report was strong on most metrics. They delivered triple-digit growth on sales and deliverable. They sold 10,100 Kg in the third quarter and that is a whopping 360% increase from the prior quarter. This is a steep ramp, and most of it was for recreational use. So the legalization trend has a significant impact on how much product CGC stocks can deliver.

Therein lies the cannabis mania. More headlines on those fronts will surely drive the demand and stock price up.

The sky’s the limit since it’s new territory. This potential has attracted mainstream large-cap companies like STZ, but others like KO have been looking as well, so they have yet to scratch the surface. Doubters of the sector should be careful here. Shorting a broad bullish thesis could bring financial ruin to staunch bears.

Since there are so many opinion of future income streams for cannabis companies like CGC, it’s hard to shoot them all down down. It would be like fighting a multi-headed snake. When you think you beat one argument, the stocks rally on another angle or point of view.

So where is the growth going to come from next? With the legalization trend being so young, there will be exponential growth, from the direct-to-consumer sales through retail and online. And as more regions amend their laws to accept it, cannabis will expand its current product lines but also add more of the same.

Currently the edibles, drinkables and medicinal are three of the most popular topics of discussion, I bet there will be dozens more soon to add to the list. This will broaden the scope of potential corporate acquirers like STZ did.


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The bottom line is that Canopy Growth stock should have no limit for as long as the stock market is rising. The quest for new uses of cannabis and the efforts to expand what’s already on hand is too strong to stifle in the short term. That is why the stock moves so violently on a daily basis. The fear of missing out is too great. So those who missed the run the first few times can jump into the stock on dips.

Technically, CGC stock behaves well, filling the chart patterns. As active a chart as it has, the breakdown and breakout levels have so far been predictable. It is now 85% higher than it was on Christmas and it is trading inside a tight range. This builds up pent-up energy that will need to resolve itself. This usually happens in a breakout or breakdown from significant levels.

In this case, If Canopy stock loses $41.60, it could retest the $35 zone. Conversely and if the bulls can break through $48 then $52, they can invite enough momentum buyers to mount a $12 rally from there. In fact, CGC may already be in a breakout pattern with a measured move to $60 per share.

Normally I want to wait for the breakout line to happen before I chase stocks. In this case, I would make an exception and buy get long CGC early because it is a fast mover. But I would put a tight stop below $41.60. I could do this using options, but even if I buy the stock outright, I would consider selling covered calls to mitigate my risk. Long term, this stock could be a massive home run, we just cannot quantify it yet and that is exciting and totally worth the risk.

Nicolas Chahine is the managing director of SellSpreads.com. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can follow him as @racernic on Twitter and 

Friday, February 15, 2019

Avon Products (AVP) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Avon Products (NYSE:AVP) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 14, 2019 9:00 a.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to Avon's fourth-quarter and full-year earnings conference call. [Operator instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. The company will use slides to support today's prepared remarks. The slides will be visible via the webcast available on the company's Investor Relations website.

A downloadable PDF of the presentation will be made available at the end of the call. During the call today, the company will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, which they believe to be useful to investors, although they should not be considered superior to the measures presented in accordance with GAAP. As a reminder, the company prospectively adopted the new revenue recognition accounting standard during the first quarter. To provide a fair comparison, information will be shared, excluding the impact of the standard.

This information is labeled like for like. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP measures is included in the appendix of this webcast and in the company's earnings release. Both are located on the Investor Relations section of the company's website. This call will contain forward-looking statements that concern the company's business and financial strategies.

These statements involve risks and uncertainties, which are detailed in the cautionary statement available in today's slides on the company's Investor Relations website and in the company's SEC's filings. I will now turn the conference over to Amy Greene, vice president of investor and stakeholder relations. Ms. Greene, you may begin your conference.

Amy Greene -- Vice President of Investor and Stakeholder Relations

Good morning, and thank you for joining us to review Avon's fourth-quarter 2018 results. I'm here with Jan Zijderveld, Avon's CEO; and Jamie Wilson, CFO. Jan and Jamie will take you through our progress and our fourth-quarter results, and we will then move to a Q&A session. Slide 3 has this morning's agenda.

I will now hand the call over to Jan.

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Amy. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. Today, we want to cover a few key areas. First, I will start to remind you of our journey so far.

Next, Jamie will share the quarter four financial results. Then, we will provide a business update of our progress how we're opening up Avon. Let's begin on Slide 4. It is hard to believe that it's already been a year since I joined Avon.

I remember how excited I was to get into the markets to listen and learn as much as possible about our representatives, all our bosses as we like to say, and what do we take to make Avon successful again. After spending time visiting virtually every market, we identified and addressed a few immediate fixes, starting with improving our service. Second, we pushed a new culture of performance and speed, establishing a rigorous meeting cadence and a renewed sense of urgency with Sprint teams focused on owning the outcomes for the immediate fixes, must win battles as we like to call them. Third and most importantly, we refocused the entire Avon business from rebooting and improving our direct selling model.

Many initiatives are under way to improve the end-to-end representative experience. The training and the satisfaction for her and to hold ourselves accountable to improve her earnings. During the September Investor Day, we presented our Open Up Avon strategy and outlined Avon's new success formula. We are building repeatable models to reboot direct selling, to create demand by strengthening the value of our brand and to unlock the big e-commerce opportunity for Avon and to use the power of our rich data, and finally, to dramatically simplify and open up our culture.

While we have many strengths to build upon, we have a big change agenda to execute and to build our new Avon. It will take time to fix, but we have made progress throughout each quarter. Now to Jamie to cover the financial results.

Jamie Wilson -- Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Jan, and good morning. I will start on Slide 5. As a reminder, starting 1st of January 2018, we adopted the new revenue recognition standard, which is reflected in our fourth quarter results and outlined in our press release. Once again, we are providing like for like, or LFL, results.

Like-for-like provides a useful comparison of year-over-year figures that exclude the impact of the adoption of the new accounting standard on revenue recognition and our non-GAAP adjustments from our non-GAAP measures. Importantly, it also excludes our discontinued operations like Australia and New Zealand, which we exited around the middle of last year. For your convenience, you can find a table providing a reconciliation of the like for like, adjusted non-GAAP and reported information in the press release and in the appendix to this presentation, as well as on the Avon website. As a reminder, any discussions of revenue during today's call will be in constant dollars and our results are using like-for-like information in the presentation unless otherwise stated.

Turning to Slide 6, like-for-like revenue declined by 1.4%. And in our top 10 markets, the decline was 0.7%. Despite the year-over-year decline, quarter four was material improvement from the previous quarter where sales were down by 4%. For quarter four, the key drivers of the decline were in Brazil and the U.K., along with a 6% decline in Active Representatives, largely in the beauty brand segment and with newer representatives.

Adjusted gross margins declined by 140 basis points, largely due to the result of increased material and logistics costs in addition to FX pressure. As we outlined during our recent Investor Day, we have made a conscious effort to invest in representatives and our brand. In quarter four, we made material increased investment in representatives, recruitment and training, together with additional media spend over the prior year to create demand and rejuvenate our brand. We also invested in the representatives' incentives to help recover activity levels and reengage with our representatives.

This resulted in an adjusted operating margin of 6%, a decline of 420 basis points from the prior year. Restoring the relationship with our representatives, particularly in large markets like Brazil, is imperative. These and other investments are key to resetting the foundation for future success to turn around this market and restore growth. Moving to Slide 7, as I mentioned, fourth quarter revenue from reportable segments declined by 1.4% on a constant dollar basis.

Active Representatives declined 6%, with the largest declines in the U.K., Brazil and Russia, but average order was up by 5% on improved productivity. We also saw a 4% improvement in average representatives' sales and a 6% improvement in price mix this quarter. Shifting our focus more toward improved representative productivity is a priority. We continue to enhance our focus on revenue growth management, as well as investing in our representatives to improve their experience and help them earn more.

Total beauty sales fell 2%, largely driven by color, particularly impacted by the softness in Brazil. Sales from the innovations are encouraging, with multiple success with Avon's Ultra Mascara brand refresh. Mark innovation also performed well, while Color Trend was impacted by increased competition particularly in LatAm. Of note, fragrance improved to flat this quarter and average representative fragrance sales increased by 6%.

In quarter four, there were a few notable brand launches that contributed: New Avon Life Color, our newest fragrance designed by Kenzo Takada along with selected market launches by Far Away Rebel and Segno. Fashion and home grew by 1% with upside driven by sales in LatAm and Russia. And Mexico sales in home category were aided by the new mini brochures. The 6% improvement in price mix is being driven by our revenue growth management efforts, and Jan will share more about this later.

We expect to see continued improvement in our overall price volume mix, as well as we launch better, more on-trend innovative products, bundles, regimes and training of our representatives to increase her sales and her earnings. Moving to Slide 8, adjusted operating margin decreased by 420 basis points, driven by investments made in the representative experience. Adjusted gross margin decreased by 140 basis points on a 1.4% decline in revenue, primarily from FX pressure and an increase in material cost and logistics. Adjusted SG&A while lower than last year was an increase of 280 basis points as a percentage of revenue.

As I mentioned earlier, this was primarily as a result of investment in representatives for training and an advertising to create demand and excitement around the brand and an increased transportation cost. During the fourth quarter, we also achieved cost savings related to the new strategy, Open Up Avon, were approximately $20 million. Turning to Slide 9, our adjusted income tax provision was $3 million, which was a decrease of approximately $48 million compared to the previous year. Our structural and operational changes resulted in an annualized adjusted tax rate of approximately 64% for 2018, down from 76% last year.

Looking ahead for 2019, we expect to see further reductions in the range of 10% to 15% over the course of the year. Cash flow from operations for the three-month period was $161 million. Our cash from operations was largely impacted by lower earnings, higher inventory levels and exchange rate pressure. Our 2018 cash conversion is lower than anticipated largely due to lower earnings.

While we made some progress in reducing our inventory balances, it has been slower than we expected. As part of this, we have announced a 25% SKU reduction, together with taking an $88 million charge to reduce our inventory. This was designed to help improve cash conversion through 2019. In addition, we announced today that we entered a new three-year EUR 200 million senior secured revolving credit facility, which enhances our financial flexibility.

Currency headwinds negatively impacted quarter four adjusted operating profit by 150 basis points and a negative 12% of revenue. The currency headwinds increased significantly in the back half of 2018, primarily due to dramatic declines of the currencies in Argentina and Turkey, along with ongoing volatility in Brazil. Foreign exchange headwind will likely continue to pressure the business at roughly the same rate in early part of 2019. We are more aggressively taking price actions to help mitigate the revaluation and working to localize production in markets like Turkey, Russia and Argentina.

In summary, we are still in the early phase of our journey, but we are optimistic about the improvements we are seeing as a result of all of our actions. Now let me turn things back to Jan.

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jamie. Moving up on Slide 11. Turning to the performance of our top markets. In the fourth quarter, we saw revenue improvements in four of our five top markets.

Mexico's fourth quarter revenue increased by 2.3%, the third consecutive quarter of growth, which was driven by innovation in Fashion and home and fragrance, coupled with an increased focus on training. Mexico is implementing the New Avon segmentation model, starting with the top earners program, the Stellar Circle. Advanced training behind this group of 40,000 beauty consultants is contributing to improved productivity of 25%, which help drive the overall improvement of net productivity by 2% in Mexico. We saw slight improvements in our market share this quarter in Russia's highly competitive and shrinking beauty market.

While trends are still negative, we continue to experience strength in fragrance and beauty. Argentina's strong growth continues, up 23% based on pricing to offset inflation and the ForEx headwinds. We continue to see the adoption and usage of our new e-commerce platform, as well as active reps increased by 4% in Argentina. In the Philippines, we grew 5% over the prior year as a result of our successful representative reengagement activities that left due to the service issues that we had in the middle of last year.

In addition, the Philippines successfully introduced a social media training platform, which also helped reengaged representatives. Finally, Brazil, very encouraged to see the improving trends. Revenue declined by 4.6%, including a benefit from the non-incurring IPI tax. Excluding this benefit, Brazil's revenue would have declined 8%, which is an improvement on the prior quarter.

The improvements were largely due to the refocus on the basics, including improved service, the new incentive programs and the enhanced training that resulted in an improved field activation during the Christmas holidays. Taking a closer look at the Brazil's progress on Slide 12, after only one quarter, we are seeing the impact of our new General Manager Jose's experience as he has effectively diagnosed and become address Brazil's core issues. He and the team have mixed quickly to develop Brazil's turnaround plan fully aligned with Open Up Avon priorities. They started with a focus to reboot direct selling to improve service and training, to improve the critical campaign management progress, all designed to improve the earnings, enhance her experience at every touch point.

Second, the team is reinventing the brand by improving the brochure quality and the brochure look and feel, sharper and much better price and promotion management. And finally, they are simplifying the business. For example, they plan to significantly reduce the number of SKUs and focus more on the core brands and the biggest SKUs, all while making the business much leaner and much simpler. Brazil has also step changed its focus on e-commerce and social selling.

They have set up a dedicated e-commerce business unit, reporting directly to Jose, and this unit already achieves five times the online sales in the second half of last year 2018. The Brazilian team is off to a good start, and we will continue to keep you updated on their progress as we expect the business to return to growth and significantly improve its profitability. On Slide 13. During our recent Investor Day, we outlined the four underlying pillars that are necessary to turn around Avon and regain our competitive position in the global beauty market.

They are: first, to reboot social selling; secondly, to create more demand for our beauty consultants and increase the value of our brand; third, unlock e-commerce and the power of data, as well as capture the significant Asian growth opportunity; and finally, to dramatically simplify our business and open up. Starting on Slide 14 and the progress we are making to reboot social selling. This companywide priority is well on the way and already showing promise as we move to one-size-fits-all mindset to renewed focus on deleveraging and segmented approach designed around repeatable and scalable models around recruitment, training, representative tools and incentives designed to energize, engage our representatives, while improving their satisfaction and earnings. We are already seeing change with significant signs of improvements coming from many areas of our markets.

And I shared several examples of this during our company updates. But there is still much work to be done to fully reboot and implement our strategy. We are committed to getting it right, and are addressing the different starting points across our different markets, with our focus on repeatable models. What we learn in one market, we can quickly apply in other markets, thereby maximizing our learnings, as well as impacting the total impact of our programs.

On Slide 15, deleveraging and segmentation and using our rich data are critical to unlocking the success of our direct selling model. In 2018, we made progress defining and testing our approach. Our focus in 2019 is on optimizing and rolling out our successful models and learnings across the key markets. We are gaining a better understanding of the different characteristics, preferences and behaviors of our different representatives.

And as you see on this slide, our designing targeted of trainings, tools and supports to align her goals and her needs. Turning to Slide 16 and the important topic of recruiting. Last quarter, I shared that we are implementing significant changes in our approach to recruiting and it improved both the effectiveness and the quality of our recruiting models, testing and building on best practices. We are leveraging the learnings from India of mass scale recruitment meetings, which we rolled out to the Philippines.

We also did nearly 90 big recruiting events in South Africa, resulting in 28% growth in new appointments over quarter three. During the fourth quarter, we continue our mass recruiting events in India, resulting in the best quarter since 2013. In Russia, we are experimenting with the new beauty bars in shopping malls, as a new innovative way to recruit and train our representatives. We also learned these beauty bars in the middle of shopping malls help build our brand quality reception.

The beauty bars is a significant improvement both for the representative, as well as the consumer experiencing, and connection with the Avon brand allowing her to personally interact, learn and see the immediate results. Over 50% of the attendees placed orders, and we saw a 20% improvement in representative conversion rates. That is four times higher than the average events in Russia. We continue to innovate test and share new ways to engage and delight our representatives.

The majority of our 10 markets are working to localize these and are the best practices as part of the 2019 recruiting plans, including the use of our new e-recruiting and e-appointments tools, where we are seeing promising results in Brazil. Testing and deploying repeatable scalable models globally and locally will continue in 2019 and are key to Avon's future success. On Slide 17, recruiting, communicating and training go hand-in-hand. We are arming our representatives with the right kind of training.

We call this training with intent. We understand the importance of engaging and training new representatives during the first 90 days. We made good progress with our training efforts during the fourth quarter and substantially exceeded our goal to train 500,000 representatives with over 700,000 representatives participating in face-to-face training programs, plus over 500,000 representatives taking advantage of our new online e-training. For example, Mexico launched a variety of training events, including the Stellar Circle for the top 40,000 representatives, which resulted in an increase of over 25% in the average orders.

Supporting our new representatives is key. Hence, the Mexico focused on the first 90-day programs for our new representatives. This was launched nationwide and attracted over 57,000 participants, resulting in active rep growth for the first time in many years. Further, the average orders increased by 2% and units per representative increased by 5% during quarter four.

This repeatable model is being rolled out across other markets. Reversing the decision made over five years ago to cut training, we reinstated the training programs globally and locally and is vital to driving retention and helping become a beauty embassador and advisor to the clients. Fully rebuilding our training muscle is going to take time. We're testing new concepts, learning new insights and sharing best practices and scaling what works to more markets.

Turning to Slide 18. In this section, we will cover a few key areas to drive demand and increase both the relevance and the value of our brand. Turning to Slide 19, let me share how we are thinking differently. Historically, we managed the Avon Care brand, our third largest brand locally, which resulted in multiple and overlapping formulas, many SKUs across many regions, there was, therefore, a tremendous opportunity to rationalize and reset this brand.

This led to restaging the Avon Care brand with some very exciting results. The team relaunched the Avon Care brand with a new packaging design and new range architecture. They reduced base formulas from just seven to two and reduced the SKUs by 40%. This removed more than 20 nonessential ingredients in saving of $1.2 million and 100 basis points improvement in gross margin.

What is most impressive is that we did all this and grew sales last year in 2018 by 10%. Moving to Slide 20, focusing on innovating and actions to unlock the growth of Avon's core and big brands, starting with ANEW in 2019. During 2019, we'll take the Avon Care lessons and refresh and reposition ANEW. We will add new exciting training tools, including interactive training and shareable videos, product information cards, as well as a new diagnostic check tool.

We will launch new ANEW skin care range, as well as extend the brand by launching new innovative platforms each quarter, starting this quarter with Anew Vitamin C product. This product has 40 oranges in each jar. The new plan to rejuvenate the ANEW brand highlights our focus on our big strong brands with better and bigger innovations, a higher price points and better materials for our representatives to help her earn more and sell more. We are building a much stronger marketing plans for 2019, with better and bigger on-trend innovation.

We will share more of these exciting new plans as we move through the 2019. Moving to Slide 21, revenue management to create more value. During the Investor Day, we shared the need to increase our average brochure price through using old revenue management levers, bigger innovations and higher prices, grow higher ticket items with bundles and regimes, improve the mix with faster growth in fragrance and skin care, as well as significantly better promotion and price management. Our quarter-four average brochure prices increased by 6% over the year to $3.52.

We are pleased with our early progress on promotion management and improved net revenue management, a focus that we'll continue throughout 2019. Our price mix of 5% improved again this quarter, largely driven by focused price increases, improved promotion management and the introduction of more premium ranges and more bundles. The bundles represented 20% of sales in the last quarter. Our overall revenue management efforts contributed to an increase of 5% in average orders.

Turning to Slide 23, our priority is to increase access through digital and e-commerce. First, we focused to improve the digital tools for our beauty consultants to help her run her business and make it easier for her. All her orders are now online and digital. And now in over 20 markets, covering 80% of our beauty consultants, she can also order from any mobile device.

Finally, we also launched the e-self-appoints for app. So you can become an Avon consultant in minutes, all via your smartphone. In Brazil, our new online e-appointment app, a real-time paperless process, which improved the representative experience, had a 94% adoption rate in the test region. What we've learned is not enough to only have the tools, we must incorporate training to accelerate adoption and effectively drive sales.

Moving to Slide 24, driving e-commerce as a new channel and a big new growth driver for Avon. Everyone knows the Avon brand, but today, you can only really buy Avon if you know a representative. Hence, the e-commerce opportunity is so big and a big growth opportunity for Avon. In 2018, we grew our online sales by 56%, increasing every quarter and nearly doubling it in the second half.

In the second quarter of 2018, we launched our new Instant Messenger Brochures. In just over two quarters, this has now been rolled out to 60 markets. By the year end, the unique visitors count reached 5.5 million views and the average cart value is significantly larger than the average of the brochure sales. Training has been critical to maximize e-commerce adoption, usage and to drive sales.

Last week, I met LeAnna in the U.K., an enterprising beauty entrepreneur who has built a highly successful and growing Avon business, doing this now full-time. She built this business using only e-commerce and digital tools, and she did it in just over 18 months. We are doubling down to help her and other digital e-consultants build that business and become an effective and successful micro-influencer, building her Avon profile and spreading Avon content across their social networks. We will give a new digital assets every week to use and build her business.

In 2019, we're poised to accelerate the deployment of e-commerce and mobile capabilities across our business. Additionally, in each country, we have established a separate e-commerce business unit charged with driving e-commerce sales, reporting directly to the General Manager. Moving to Slide 25, an unlocking growth in Asia. This is another significant growth opportunity for Avon.

Within the Avon -- within the Asian market, the beauty, face care and fragrance markets grew 6% over the last five years, and this growth is expected to accelerate over the next five years. We want to take part in this growth, and we have a strong and known brand in Asia to do this. We have recruited a strong team who are building an aggressive five-year growth plan both in China and India. In India, people are excited and want to do the business with our well-known Avon brand.

Reenergizing this market is a key growth opportunities. Avon popular opportunity meetings continue to effectively generate interest, resulting in the fourth quarter increase in Active Representatives by 14%, an increase in retention of 2%. For India, quarter five was our best quarter since 2013 with a 27% growth rate. Avon's brand strength is another big asset as we reestablish our China business.

We have shifted our business model to focus on three different channels: our Avon franchise beauty boutiques, the retail distribution channel and the big and fast-growing e-commerce channel. Our e-commerce business in skin and fragrance are off to a good start, and we are now adding color as a new category. Notably, with the ongoing success of our celebrity-endorsed fragrances, Avon's Little Black Dress, which has become a leading fragrance brand in China. Avon's successful promotion Alibaba Single's Day, which was five times larger as it was in the past year elevated us to a key account status on their platform and it will enable us to increase awareness and promotions in 2019.

Finally, China continues to upgrade our over 1,000 Avon brand experience beauty boutiques to demonstrate our products and innovations and create the perfect online/off-line Avon experience. Next on Slide 26, throughout 2018, we made good progress in transforming Avon's culture to become more open, to new ways of thinking, simpler, more agile and much more performance-orientated, accountable for actions and outcomes. Moving to Slide 27, let me share how we are dramatically simplifying our business, getting leaner, simpler and faster. Recently, we announced we entered into an agreement to sell our China manufacturing facility to the fresh-up company, a subsidiary of LG house care and healthcare and one of Asia's largest consumer goods beauty businesses.

We have anticipated net sales proceeds of Avon of $44 million of the closing. The sale of an important component of the optimizing of our assets. As part of the transaction, we agreed to enter into a manufacturing and supply agreement, where the factory will manufacture products for our fast-growing Chinese business and other markets, while maximizing the capacity of the plant. This agreement is another example of our Open Up strategy and strategic shift to leveraging the best-in-class partners to improve efficiency and optimize our assets.

Over the past several months, we have taken decisive actions to identify and capture cost savings with our company's existing commercial practices, supply chain and global infrastructure footprint. We also closed our Rye offices and announced the sale of this site, and we are reviewing all our assets to ensure they're all fit for purpose. We recently announced plans to reduce our global workforce by approximately 10% to make a leaner organization that is better aligned with our business needs. These actions, coupled with the reduction of 8% completed in 2018, expected to result in an annualized pre-tax savings of more than $100 million by the end of 2019.

We have become too complex and cluttered with too many SKUs and too much inventory. Therefore, we have initiated an SKU reduction program, with a target of a 25% reduction in SKUs by 2019. Reducing the long tail will help make demand management easier, improve our service levels and above all help simplify our business. During the fourth quarter, we already reduced our SKUs by roughly 6% from the levels in quarter three.

To clean up our inventory, in the fourth quarter, we announced that we are making a 15% reduction and taking a one-off inventory of obsolescence write-off of approximately $88 million. Combined these efforts will advance the simplification of Avon's operation and drive down cost. Turning to Slide 28, I will share the progress that we've made building our talent and driving the cultural change. Over the last year, we have been attracting significant new talent and capabilities to Avon, including the recent addition of a new global supply chain officer, Vikram.

And this week, we announced Kay Nemoto as our new chief strategy and HR officer. By the end of 2018, 73% of our top 35 leaders were new, and bring fresh perspectives and talent to our company, all fully committed to turnaround Avon. As we move into 2019, we've made a conscious effort to move marketing, R&D and an end-to-end supply chain responsibility closer to the markets. We've implemented a comprehensive new governance cadence with tighter controls and established accountability for targets.

All managers have clear goals with 70% of the annual bonuses tied directly to their local markets' results. I could not be happier with a deep and experienced bench that we are building and putting in place to lead the new Avon. On Slide 29. Closing our 2018, we want to recap the progress against the items we presented on the Investor Day in September.

We said in the second half of 2018, we would train half a million representatives, but we exited that, training over 1.2 million in just the fourth quarter. We presented the three-year target of $400 million savings to fund our fuel-for-growth strategy. And in the fourth quarter, we booked $20 million toward that amount. As we discussed, we have sharpened our focus on revenue management and pricing and saw a greater than 5% improvement in net price and mix during the fourth quarter.

With our focus on representative training, we expected to spend $10 million on those programs and during the second half of the year, we did. While sharpening our product portfolio, we are focusing on launching new relevant products that provide better earning opportunities for her. And in the second half of 2018, we launched more than 300 such products. We are in the process of working on the relaunch of our global brand positioning, and we have attracted new talent into Avon, building on our rich history in beauty and direct selling.

And lastly, we said that we would launch e-brochures in more than 40 markets, and we are pleased to say that by the end of the year, we had them available in 60 markets, as well as rolled out My Avon Store to over 20 countries, with 16% of our representatives adopting this new My Avon Store. Concluding on Slide 30. It's been quite a busy year, starting with the basics. We hit the short-term fixes hard in the first half of the year, while we worked to build the new team, change the culture and define the strategy we shared with you on the Investor Day.

Opening up Avon is driven by simplifying and focusing our business, people and our cost structure. We have moved to sell underutilized assets, right-size our organization and cost structure, all while moving key functions closer to the markets. We are making tough decisions with speed, while holding people accountable for their results. As we move into 2019, our focus is on execution.

We must continue to drive the improvements that we have made outlined throughout today's discussion, while focusing the team on rolling out the repeatable models that will drive the turnaround. We have built a strong, capable and determined team ready to lead and drive Avon's success on to the next leg on our journey. As we have said before, change takes time, and we will not do it without our brands, but we are determined to return Avon to growth and to reclaim its competitive position in the market. Thank you for joining us today.

Now we would like to take the opportunity for questions. Let me turn back to Amy to start this process.

Amy Greene -- Vice President of Investor and Stakeholder Relations

[Operator instructions] Operator, can you please open the Q&A session?

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Ali Dibadj with Bernstein.

Ali Dibadj -- Bernstein -- Analyst

So I will try to squeeze in two. One is just around the improvements that you mentioned around Russia, a little bit better negative one; Brazil, again obviously still negative; but improving a bit, Mexico. How much do you think that your improvement actions you're taking? Can you measure that perhaps from a market share perspective versus macro improving, which we are clearly hearing from other companies and local sources in Brazil and Mexico? So just kind of how much of your actions is question number one? And then number two is, although you say you're on the right track and you say there's some improvement here, the results are still, obviously, choppy and will continue to be choppy, has your confidence changed at all in terms of the idea that you're doing enough and spending back enough and changing enough and making bold enough moves to get to your kind of near-term guidance that you mentioned before? So love those two questions if you can, please.

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

Ali, thanks a lot and good to hear, again. Also, we forgot obviously, it's Valentine's Day, so hope you all -- and Valentine was basically designed for Avon, the company for women and for looking after each other, so I hope you all having a good Valentine's Day, including you, Ali. So on your two questions, are we still in green shoots because of the macro or because of the things we're doing? I think in the short term, the macros haven't really helped or hindered us, specifically in Brazil. In Russia, by the way, the macro is actually quite tough, and we're seeing some shared gain.

So in a tough environment, actually we're seeing a little bit of a share gain. In the other big markets, specifically Mexico, I think, really the actions that we're taking of specifically rebooting our direct selling operations, investing in recruitment, investing in training, investing in the field is really starting to show us that it can be done and that the fundamentals of the business are improving. And on Brazil and our focus is specifically on Brazil because we got really the reset going on. I think all of the same things are starting to happen.

Now with a bit of luck, we both get underlying better business and a little bit of tailwinds from the improving macros in that country. But I would say that short term of what we're seeing now, it's our own work and it's our own initiatives that are giving us more confidence that we're working on the right things, whether it's in direct selling, whether it's strengthening our brand and our marketing activities, whether it's step changing and really focusing on e-commerce and digital selling and making our business much, much simpler. I mean, I think, we were clogged up too many SKUs, too much inventory, too many processes, an organization that wasn't too siloed. So all of those things coming together is, I think, slowly and incrementally improving the situation.

And are we doing enough? Yes, I think if you look at it, I think we're doing enough. I think we're doing a heck of a lot. If you think about, we have identified the issues. We've got, I think, a very clear agenda with our four pillars to attack and address the issues.

We're putting a new field -- new team in the field in terms of who's going to do that, lots of new players, lots of new capabilities that we're building and buying in whether it's direct selling capabilities and people that we bought in and placed in key places, whether it's e-commerce capabilities and people that we're putting in places, by the way, of note, new marketing people that we're putting in place that really know how to build our brands and build our innovations, better innovations, stronger innovations. And of course, the last two appointments, a Senior Supply Chain Head now, Vikram, who is joining also the EC to really look at our asset base, our cost structures to see how we can run our logistics operations better, to manage our inventory in a better way. So all of those things starting I think to come together. We're planting lots of seeds and giving water to those, while we're continuing to take out the weeds.

And are hopefully one day -- and we're starting to see now in Q4, some of those flowers starting to come through the field, Ali.

Ali Dibadj -- Bernstein -- Analyst

And if I may, just on that last point in terms of weeding things, one of the interesting moves that you made, bold moves where selling some of these underutilized assets, obviously, in Asia as well. Do you think you're done there? Is that review over? Or is that going to be ongoing from a sale of assets perspective?

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

No. That's ongoing. I mean, we picked the obvious one, which was obviously the China factory, which was a big factory which totally underutilized and we found, I think, a great solution with LG Care, where they will take over all the factory, all the people. They will start investing in it.

They'll start filling up and we'll really build a strategic partnership with them to really drive that to the next level. Secondly, the Rye offices. We said we want to be out of the Rye office before the end of the year and move our IT people to better locations. We've done that, and we hope to sell the facility very, very soon.

And then we're looking at all our assets, every single asset that we have. We're reviewing, is it fit for purpose, specifically we're reviewing our warehouses around the world. Can we find better solutions to utilize those better, better different partnerships? So that is also under full scope and full review to both get better operations and unlock cash where possible.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Doug Lane with Lane Research.

Doug Lane -- Lane Research -- Analyst

I just wanted to focus on the SKU reductions here. I understand the need for it, and it makes a lot of sense to me, but what do you think the impact will be? Have the reps found out or been notified about the reductions? And what do you think the impact will be on sales at least in the near term?

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

So Doug, thanks for your question. Well, I have -- let me just -- you might agree, and I have done this many, many, many times. And it is always -- people get a little bit nervous, but I can reassure you, 100% that if you focus your SKUs on the top sellers and take out all the sort of clutter and complexity of all those small items, you get not only a better business, simpler business, but a faster-growing business. And I knew at care, example that we showed, which was our third biggest brand.

We reduced SKUs by 40%. We reduced the base formulations from seven to two core formulations, and we relaunched it and we grew the brand double-digit. And I can show you example, after example, after example, that a fewer SKUs makes healthy business and easier to run business and drives growth. We have a phenomenally long tail in Avon and shockingly long tail in Avon.

So it's a low-hanging fruit to simplify the business to focus on the bigger SKUs. And when we do the analysis of the top 100 SKUs or the top 250 SKUs and the remaining 50% of the SKUs, they contribute very, very little to the total sales. So I think, this is sort of the basics of the basics of running a tighter, sharper portfolio, which will save costs, improve our service, make forecasting much easier and drive the organization to focus on the big powerful, more profitable SKUs. It's cleaning the house basically to get a better-looking house.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Linda Bolton-Weiser with D.A. Davidson.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

So when you talked about all your different initiatives there, one of the things you said was a new mini brochure, I think, for Fashion and home in Mexico. Can you just generally talk about the wider topic, that seems to me like increasing complexity if you're starting a new mini brochure, and yet you're trying to reduce complexity. So maybe you could just take that one example and show why that is something that makes sense? And then also in terms of all of these things that you have going on, all of these initiatives and you're trying this and different things in different markets, how are you able to assess the ROI and all the different money that you're spending toward trying to try out like the boutiques I think you mentioned in one market and training and all of that? How are you looking at the ROIs to be able to better focus maybe fewer initiatives but higher returns on the initiatives that you're doing?

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

So thanks, Linda, for these two questions. One is the mini brochures. First and foremost, I think it's important that this is our marketing mechanism. This is the tools that we give to our representatives to reach for customers.

And we're doing -- and it's a core of our businesses at store basically. So we're investing in better brochures, better laid out brochures. Jose in Brazil is actually reducing the brochure size, but increasing -- the number of pages, but increasing the size and making the pages a little bit more attractive again and the whole layout, and we're really looking immediately at effectiveness of one brochure versus another one. Another idea that we're doing is the mini brochures.

We've done that in the past. They're quite effective to different audiences. So I like the fact that we're doing these things with speed and flexibility and absolutely no complexity at all. The complexity actually comes in SKUs, comes with a number of supplies that we have, the number of raw materials that we have.

It's in the system. But front end, we need to deleverage. We need to think about what she needs to become more successful. Whether this printed mini brochures or think about what we can now do with the IM brochures, which are the digital versions of that.

So we can have many digital brochures, which you can make in a couple of days and send out to different audiences, at different times, around different themes. I've seen some countries that have done the e-brochure, the IM brochure dedicated for Valentine's Day, which then the representative can spread across her Facebook friends or Instagram network. So experimenting and driving different solutions and brochures and it doesn't cause complexity, but really drives growth and innovation. The second one, on your initiatives and yes, we're doing many things, but the many things are around all our key themes.

And I think that's really important to come through. With activity streams that we're putting in are very, very focused about the strategy that we're doing. So we're doing lots of things about how to recruit better, should we do big meetings, should we do small meetings, how do you -- what's the script that you use. I was in South Africa a few months ago, and we were testing different scripts.

So you get 30, 40 people into a room. What's the best script that you should use? Which one works better? And what you start finding that in one neighborhood -- I was in the black neighborhood just out of Jo'burg, and one script did very, very well there. Then we went to another neighborhood. We drove for a little while.

And that was a sort of more middle-class neighborhood, and we had to adjust the script because the people's lives is different and the people's expectations are different and I like that very much. And one, because we are data-rich company. We follow them. It's OK.

Our success over this course versus that course. And I think you heard also through my presentation, we have lots and lots of data. So we're doing all these activities to see how we can recruit better, how we train better, how we retain better, how do different representatives behave in different areas and that optimizes our marketing mission. So I think, we're doing activities around the themes that we have identified and we're measuring success.

And then as I talk about, we build repeatable models to say what's successful, what works and those ones then we rollout with discipline. So it is a little bit learn and test pass and then scale what works. And I think that's really a great sort of management technique or to be able to drive the change programs that we need.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Steph Wissink with Jefferies.

Steph Wissink -- Jefferies -- Analyst

I just have a follow-up question on your comment at the very end of your prepared remarks. I think I caught everything, but you've deployed your mobile catalog in 60 markets, and I think you said 20 markets have been My Avon Store. Can you just give us an update on how we should think about 2019 rollouts and the adoption of that My Avon Store interface?

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Thanks, Steph. So yes, so we're really focused very, very strongly on e-commerce. I think the case for e-commerce for Avon's is obvious.

It started with the opening slide. Many people -- almost everyone in all our countries knows us, but they can't buy us unless you know a representative or have access to the physical brochure. So that's the really huge opportunity and that's why we're doubling down on e-commerce. And we have the two platforms that we're driving: one is the IM brochure, which we only started, I think, in April, May from zero, and we now have in 60 markets which is essentially every single country in which we operate.

And what we see is, we went from two and a half million views in Q3 to 5.5 million views in Q4, and we just started seeing increased adoption and more and more representatives understanding how to use it, but also us understanding how to use it. So one is, obviously, we just repeat with physical brochure as an IM brochure, but what we also start seeing that we can do different brochures at different times maybe even targeted of different groups. So that's also in 2019 will continue around the IM brochure. We're also adding extra functionality to the IM brochure, including which we're testing now direct delivery.

So the IM brochure now gets delivered by the representatives. We're now testing the IM brochure that you can order it and get it directly delivered to your home. So we continue to build and drive functionality to make it better and better. The My Avon Store is really the sort of platform for the representatives.

It's first store face. That is being rolled out now to over 20 markets. I think, we added another two this week. And in the markets in which we operate, 16% of the reps have opened the store.

And that's really, really encouraging. And then the trick is to not only get them to open the store, but teach them how to build the business and find the successful ones like, LeAnna which I met last week in the U.K. that had build her business without any physical contact. The way she builds her business all through My Avon Store, driving new customers, driving her business, electronically, using My Avon Store.

What we're now doing is My Avon Store gets updated in terms of the program, in terms of the app every two weeks. So we're building a better app every two weeks. So we get a cadence a bit like you see on your iPhone, new update, new update, every two weeks with new functionality, better programs. So that's one thing.

The second thing we're doing with My Avon Store is making sure that we provide better content for her. So we've now -- our new marketing team, which I think I'm also very excited about. We got some really good new marketing people. We've appointed a new agency to every week release new assets, i.e., new little forms, new little demos, new little photos and ideas that we then spread out to these e-reps who then spread it out across their network to make them really micro influences.

And we've now set up a pipeline of asset generation, which will guard every week to help her drive her business back to My Avon Store. So we're at the beginning of a journey, but that's very, very exciting happening. So it's the platforms that we have My Avon Store and My IM brochure. It's educating her to use it, and then giving her assets and ideas and products and promotions and gifts, so we can drive her sales.

Steph Wissink -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Jan, I'm excited to ask one follow-up to that, on rep attrition. Should we think about 2018 really as a year focused on training and I think you qualified that investment at $10 million. In 2019, we should start to see some activations regarding recruitments? Or how do we square up some of these great initiatives at the rep level in mobile, e-commerce, the dynamics of them that you just described with the continuation of declines in the active and total reps?

Jamie Wilson -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes. They all hang together, of course, a little bit. So the other one -- the first one actually we're really driving, as well as recruitment. We're going to get more people into Avon as well.

So what you see? If you look at Q4 over Q3, we have added 170,000 net additions to the recruitment in Q4. That's a 12% increase on Q3. So we're really driving also all those recruitment events. In India alone, 100,000 extra people were recruited.

And so the first thing is get them in. The second thing then is to train them and that starts with a 90-day training -- it's our 90-day training to get those ones who want to earn money into the program, so they're not only recruited but they all can start selling and making some money. And therefore, this focus is on training. And the output of that is improved productivity.

So her sales go up and her earnings go up, and we teach not only to sell more, but also sell more profitable product, which is where the product training comes in, so that we teach her how to sell skincare, to teach her how to scale bundles, to teach her how to sell fragrances. And so these things all hang together. And what we start to see is that we start to see the productivity improving. So recruitment is up on Q3 and Q4.

Training is significantly up and the average price of those people and, therefore, their earnings is also significantly up. And they all hang together, and we should see ongoing improvements to support that, therefore, we need a stronger brand with better pure innovation and a simpler portfolio. So that's why these things are connected and are starting to work in more and more countries.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Katie Grafstein with Barclays.

Katie Grafstein -- Barclays -- Analyst

I was wondering if you could talk a little about your newly announced partnership with Rappi in Brazil and have you seen any early successes for this? And maybe is this the type of partnership you consider doing in other regions outside of Latin America?

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, Katie. That's great. So what we are -- that was a really nice experiment test that we're doing in São Paulo to really show that we're serious about e-commerce and we're driving, obviously, many initiatives, which is the direct delivery to consumers in most countries for My Avon Store and what I think Jose and the team are doing is going a step further with a two-hour delivery window, a bit like ordering your hamburger or your pizza. Can we do that as well? And we're doing that.

So what I'm encouraging is just to do many different things in testing on e-commerce platform with different partners in Rappi in Brazil is just another one, and that's looking good and looking promising. But I can tell you and I'm encouraging the business to become more entrepreneur, more testing in this area and see what works and what doesn't work and then those models could work in São Paulo, but that model could then maybe do in Shanghai or in London or in Mexico City. So the trick for us now is that we have more testing and learning going on in different places, but that we then roll the learnings and the successful models out in more faces. So test and learn in a small way and then scale and drive across the world in a big way.

And that's really a sort of new culture that we're trying to build.

Operator

Thank you. We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Thanks, everyone, for joining. I really appreciate all the interest in Avon, and we look forward to the next call in May for the quarter one results. So thanks very much, and have a happy Valentine's Day, again.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 62 minutes

Call Participants:

Amy Greene -- Vice President of Investor and Stakeholder Relations

Jan Zijderveld -- Chief Executive Officer

Jamie Wilson -- Chief Financial Officer

Ali Dibadj -- Bernstein -- Analyst

Doug Lane -- Lane Research -- Analyst

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Steph Wissink -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Katie Grafstein -- Barclays -- Analyst

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